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Prediction markets
61 active markets
· category “Trump”
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Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Kevin Warsh
99%
Judy Shelton
2%
33 more
$64.5M
Vol.
Oct 31
trump
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
65 trading now
Trump out as President by July 31?
2%
chance
Yes
No
$1.34M
Vol.
Jul 31
trump
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
48 trading now
What will Trump say during the Speech to the Nation?
50%
chance
Yes
No
$265K
Vol.
Jul 17
trump
Potential payout
$25
→
$50
58 trading now
How many senators will vote for Trump's Fed chair nominee?
No vote by Dec 31/Withdrawn
2%
Yes
No
≤49
2%
Yes
No
$242K
Vol.
Dec 31
trump
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
45 trading now
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?
99%
chance
Yes
No
$768K
Vol.
Jul 20
trump
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
59 trading now
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?
US x Iran Ceasefire
99%
New Supreme Leader of Iran
99%
2 more
$736K
Vol.
Oct 31
trump
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
56 trading now
How many World Cup matches will Trump attend?
0
5%
Yes
No
1
99%
Yes
No
$168K
Vol.
Jul 20
trump
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
49 trading now
What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?
Thing 10+ times
99%
President 20+ times
99%
21 more
$21K
Vol.
Jul 31
trump
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
40 trading now
Claude Fable 5 restored for International customers by…?
September 30
99%
December 31
99%
1 more
$20K
Vol.
Dec 31
trump
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
53 trading now
Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?
July 12
99%
July 11
99%
29 more
$317K
Vol.
Jul 31
trump
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
54 trading now
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
2%
chance
Yes
No
$918K
Vol.
Jul 31
trump
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
50 trading now
Marco Rubio visits China by...?
2%
chance
Yes
No
$95K
Vol.
Dec 31
trump
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
53 trading now
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