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Prediction markets
670 active markets
· category “Politics”
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How long will Trump and Xi shake hands when they meet?
10–15s
99%
15s+
2%
5 more
$1.41M
Vol.
Dec 31
politics
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
55 trading now
Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)
Starmer - UK PM
99%
Zelenskyy - Ukraine President
2%
22 more
$66.6M
Vol.
Dec 31
politics
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
72 trading now
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
2%
chance
Yes
No
$17.6M
Vol.
Jul 31
politics
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
59 trading now
Brazil Presidential Election
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
97%
Flávio Bolsonaro
44%
30 more
$113.6M
Vol.
Oct 4
politics
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
70 trading now
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?
99%
chance
Yes
No
$455K
Vol.
Dec 31
politics
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
46 trading now
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by...?
June 30
99%
December 31
99%
1 more
$468K
Vol.
Dec 31
politics
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
46 trading now
Galway-West By-Election Winner?
Seán Kyne
99%
Sheila Garrity
2%
25 more
$257K
Vol.
Mar 31
politics
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
49 trading now
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by...?
99%
chance
Yes
No
$121K
Vol.
Jul 31
politics
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
50 trading now
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
82%
chance
Yes
No
$5.29M
Vol.
Dec 31
politics
Potential payout
$25
→
$30
53 trading now
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
6%
chance
Yes
No
$38.7M
Vol.
Dec 31
politics
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
73 trading now
2027 French Presidential Election: National Rally Candidate
Marine Le Pen
99%
Jordan Bardella
2%
28 more
$304K
Vol.
Apr 23
politics
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
51 trading now
SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?
99%
chance
Yes
No
$232K
Vol.
Aug 31
politics
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
58 trading now
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