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Prediction markets
11 active markets
· category “Oil”
How it works
How to trade
Crude Oil all time high by...?
11%
chance
Yes
No
$1.79M
Vol.
Dec 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$125
60 trading now
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31?
40+
99%
30+
40%
5 more
$1.11M
Vol.
Jul 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
55 trading now
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
18%
chance
Yes
No
$940K
Vol.
Aug 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$136
62 trading now
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of July 13?
<100
99%
100-124
5%
3 more
$47K
Vol.
Jul 19
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
42 trading now
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
38%
chance
Yes
No
$310K
Vol.
Sep 30
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$66
46 trading now
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of July?
0-20
99%
20-40
26%
3 more
$181K
Vol.
Jul 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
52 trading now
Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?
No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026
78%
December
22%
5 more
$54K
Vol.
Dec 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$32
42 trading now
US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?
22%
chance
Yes
No
$46K
Vol.
Aug 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$46
49 trading now
Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by August 28?
285M
99%
300M
99%
4 more
$5.6K
Vol.
Sep 9
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
49 trading now
How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of July 20?
<220
91%
220-229
37%
4 more
$2.0K
Vol.
Jul 26
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$27
40 trading now
Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of July?
34-36
64%
31-33
34%
5 more
$2.4K
Vol.
Jul 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$39
38 trading now
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