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Prediction markets
15 active markets
· category “Science”
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How to trade
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes July 14 - July 19?
≤6
2%
Yes
No
7
2%
Yes
No
$43K
Vol.
Jul 19
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$28
42 trading now
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes July 14 - July 19?
0
2%
Yes
No
1
99%
Yes
No
$23K
Vol.
Jul 19
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
45 trading now
2026 July 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?
1st hottest
99%
3rd hottest
20%
2 more
$67K
Vol.
Jul 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
40 trading now
July 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
1.20–1.24ºC
99%
1.15–1.19ºC
12%
4 more
$28K
Vol.
Aug 1
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
46 trading now
Precipitation in Hong Kong in July?
450-475mm
64%
425-450mm
54%
8 more
$13K
Vol.
Jul 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$39
34 trading now
Precipitation in NYC in July?
>6"
58%
3-4"
56%
4 more
$15K
Vol.
Jul 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$43
46 trading now
Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?
October 31
83%
December 31
74%
2 more
$1.4K
Vol.
Jan 1
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$30
37 trading now
FDA approves Daraxonrasib this year?
99%
chance
Yes
No
$1.1K
Vol.
Dec 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
33 trading now
Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Yu Deng
99%
Hong Wang
99%
9 more
$663K
Vol.
Jul 30
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
63 trading now
Cyclosporiasis cases in U.S. by July 31?
3000+
99%
1800+
99%
4 more
$20K
Vol.
Jul 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
36 trading now
Precipitation in Seoul in July?
100mm+
99%
90-100mm
2%
6 more
$12K
Vol.
Jul 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
46 trading now
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?
14%
chance
Yes
No
$576K
Vol.
Dec 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$174
48 trading now
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